This Day in Esoteric Political History

LBJ's Decision

Lyndon B. Johnson's unexpected announcement not to seek re-election in 1968 marked a pivotal moment in American political history. Nicole Hemmer and Jody Avirgan discuss how this decision, made during a televised address primarily about the Vietnam War, shocked the nation and underscored the immense pressures of his presidency 1. Johnson, who had succeeded Kennedy and won a landslide victory in 1964, faced declining approval due to the Vietnam conflict, which deeply affected American lives 1. Avirgan notes the rarity of such a decision, highlighting the tumultuous nature of 1968:

An embattled president in a moment of crisis, you can just announce that you're out, that you no longer want to run.

--- Jody Avirgan

This announcement, made with only a small circle aware, was so surprising that some thought it might be an April Fool's joke 2.

   

Approval Shift

Johnson's decision not to run for re-election had a dramatic impact on his approval ratings. Nicole Hemmer explains that his ratings shifted from 57% disapproval to 57% approval once the public knew he wouldn't be seeking another term 3. This shift highlights the political climate of the time, where approval ratings were more volatile compared to today's polarized environment. Jody Avirgan reflects on the challenges presidents face, balancing governance with re-election campaigns, especially during crises:

The crises of the world don't care that it's an election year. They just show up.

--- Jody Avirgan

This historical context contrasts sharply with the steady approval ratings seen in more recent presidencies 3.

   

Wilson's Flu

Woodrow Wilson's contraction of the flu during the 1918 pandemic significantly influenced his role in peace negotiations post-World War I. Nicole Hemmer discusses Wilson's desire for a gentle peace with Germany, which was hindered by his illness and political setbacks 4. The flu's impact on Wilson exemplifies how unforeseen events can shape a presidency, a theme echoed by Jody Avirgan:

You don't get to choose when pandemics hit, and it's really about how do you react in that moment.

--- Jody Avirgan

This incident also highlights the broader implications of health crises on political leadership and decision-making 5.