Published Apr 3, 2020

The Great Unwind (EP.135)

"The Great Unwind" dissects the multifaceted impacts of the economic downturn, covering increased income inequality, market volatility, and the struggles of small businesses and the housing sector amid the pandemic, while exploring systemic resilience and the balance of fear and optimism in investor sentiments.
Episode Highlights
Animal Spirits Podcast logo

Popular Clips

Episode Highlights

  • Startup Struggles

    The pandemic has significantly impacted startups, forcing many to scale back operations and lay off employees. highlights that over 50 startups have cut or furloughed 6,000 employees, with major companies like Airbnb halting hiring and suspending marketing campaigns 1. notes the reliance on venture capital for advertising, which may diminish as funds dry up 1.

    This has shaken up the startup world, so now Zoom is worth 50% more than the entire airline industry, which is hard to wrap your head around.

    ---

    The conversation also touches on the potential overvaluation of companies like Zoom, which may face a decline post-pandemic 1.

       

    Bailout Controversies

    The debate over bailout requests from private equity firms has stirred controversy. explains that private equity-owned firms are struggling to access small business rescue funds due to the affiliation rule, which limits access based on workforce size 2. This has led to tensions, as these firms argue that their investors include pension funds for essential workers, not just wealthy individuals 2.

    They're sort of saying, okay, you don't have to give us this money, but this, the blood is on your hands.

    ---

    Additionally, the vast amount of uncalled capital in private equity complicates the situation, as investors are reluctant to release funds during economic uncertainty 3.

       

    Cash Flow Issues

    Small businesses face severe cash flow challenges, with many holding less than a month's worth of cash reserves. shares data showing that half of small businesses have a cash buffer of just 27 days, making them vulnerable during the pandemic 4. The discussion highlights the unrealistic expectation for businesses to maintain large cash reserves, as doing so would hinder growth and economic expansion 5.

    Investors would punish companies that were hoarding cash. Like in a good market.

    ---

    This situation underscores the delicate balance businesses must strike between preparedness and growth 5.