Forecasting Granularity

Explore the optimal level of granularity in forecasting and the ability of super forecasters to distinguish between degrees of uncertainty.

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Conversations with Tyler
Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox | Conversations with Tyler
Related Questions
- How accurate are prediction markets?
- How accurate are prediction markets as discussed in the episode Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox | Conversations with Tyler and the clip Financial Markets and Super Predictors?