Data and Predictability
The discussion highlights the paradox of how effective medications can still have a low probability of working for individuals, with success rates ranging from one in four to one in 25. This illustrates the challenge of using broad data to predict individual outcomes, as seen in the example of smoking and cancer, where population-level trends do not necessarily translate to individual risk. The insights reveal the complexities of interpreting data in both medicine and public health.In this clip
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EconTalk
Michael Blastland on the Hidden Half
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