Immigration Risk Calculus

Smugglers have adapted to the complexities of the U.S. immigration system, leveraging the overwhelming backlog in courts to guide migrants toward safer pathways for entry. With the asylum process becoming a lengthy ordeal, individuals are increasingly opting to present themselves to law enforcement rather than evade it, reshaping the dynamics of illegal immigration. This shift highlights a deeper understanding of the immigration policy landscape and the strategic calculations made by those seeking refuge.