Judging Quality
Daniel explains that evaluating the quality of judgment can be done by examining the logical explanation, use of evidence, and influence of wishes. Cognitive biases, such as overconfidence and extrapolating from small sample sizes, are common ways for judgment to fail. Shane notes that even though Daniel has studied cognitive biases his whole life, he is no better at avoiding them than anyone else.In this clip
From this podcast
The Knowledge Project
Daniel Kahneman | The Knowledge Project #68
Related Questions
How does Daniel Kahneman suggest handling intuition, financial forecasting, forecasting one's ability and capacity, and assessing the viability of our own personal assessments in the episode 6 Ways to Become the Smartest Thinker in the Room (Audio) and the clip Improving Decision Making? How does he suggest we handle examples in which we obviously failed or completely over-estimated our ability?
How does Daniel Kahneman suggest handling intuition, financial forecasting, forecasting one's ability and capacity, and assessing the viability of our own personal assessments in the episode Daniel Kahneman || A Remarkable Life, Fast and Slow and the clip Biases in Predictions? How does he suggest we handle examples in which we obviously failed or completely over-estimated our ability?
How does Daniel Kahneman suggest handling intuition, financial forecasting, forecasting one's ability and capacity, and assessing the viability of our own personal assessments in the episode Daniel Kahneman | The Knowledge Project #68 and the clip Biases in Predictions? How does he suggest we handle examples in which we obviously failed or completely over-estimated our ability?