Published Apr 7, 2022

This Is Zoltan Pozsar's Vision For Bretton Woods III

    Zoltan Pozsar delves into his vision for Bretton Woods III, emphasizing the pivotal role of commodities in the new monetary order, while unraveling the intricacies of systemic market risks, global shipping constraints, and the reshaping of financial and trade paradigms driven by geopolitical shifts.
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    • Volatility

      Zoltan Pozsar highlights the growing market volatility due to geopolitical and economic shifts. He warns that liquidity strains in the commodity world are worsening, drawing parallels to the 2008 financial crisis. Pozsar emphasizes the need for an open mind, as the market's current state could lead to significant financial disruptions.

      Keep an open mind about the awful things that could be coming in the next year.

      --- Joe Weisenthal

      The shift in global financial dynamics, including changes in how commodities are traded and priced, is reshaping the market landscape 1 2.

         

      Liquidity

      Liquidity challenges are becoming more pronounced as global trades and monetary practices evolve. Pozsar notes that the commodity trading world is experiencing a liquidity crisis, which is not reflected in traditional funding stress measures. He explains that banks are lending more to commodity traders, but this doesn't alleviate the underlying liquidity strains.

      The funding stresses that the commodity world is having are being lessened by more and more and more lending that the big banks provide to commodity traders.

      --- Zoltan Pozsar

      The shift away from traditional eurodollar creation and petrodollar recycling is also impacting liquidity, necessitating new approaches to funding 3 4.

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