Published Nov 4, 2024

Ezra Klein On the Legacy of Bidenomics

Ezra Klein delves into the legacy of Bidenomics, analyzing its impact on political coalitions, industrial policy, and global competition, while questioning its long-term viability and potential shifts under future administrations amidst challenges like competition with China.
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Episode Highlights

  • Prosperity Debate

    The debate over Bidenomics centers on its effectiveness in fostering economic prosperity and its potential longevity. critiques the initiative, noting areas where it falls short, such as permitting and procurement reforms, yet acknowledges its focus on innovation like green hydrogen as a foundation for future prosperity 1. However, the messaging struggles of Bidenomics are evident, as highlights the administration's difficulty in communicating its successes, particularly in the face of inflation concerns overshadowing employment gains 2. Klein reflects on the missed opportunities for storytelling during Biden's presidency, which could have better articulated the economic vision:

    Biden just was not able to storytell. I mean, not during his presidency, I would say, and very much not during his campaign.

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    The lack of a compelling narrative has hindered the public's perception of Bidenomics' achievements.

       

    Policy Shifts

    Bidenomics reflects broader shifts in U.S. economic policy, influenced by political and global pressures. notes that Biden's economic approach, including the CHIPS Act, was partly a continuation of trends from the Trump era, highlighting a bipartisan interest in semiconductor production 3. Klein emphasizes the importance of coalition dynamics, as Biden's administration has been notably supported by progressive figures like Bernie Sanders and AOC, which has shaped its economic policies 4. He explains the complexity of these shifts:

    There is a shift in the tectonic plates of economic policy, of policy broadly.

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    These changes underscore the evolving landscape of U.S. economic strategy, driven by both internal and external factors.

       

    Political Continuity

    The continuity of Bidenomics and industrial policies hinges on future political leadership. questions the permanence of these initiatives, especially if leadership changes to figures like Trump or Harris 5. Klein suggests that while some projects may be secure, others could face significant alterations, particularly under a Trump administration. The care economy, a significant component of the original Build Back Better plan, was notably absent from the Inflation Reduction Act due to political constraints, primarily opposition from figures like Joe Manchin 6. Klein succinctly attributes this to political dynamics:

    It didn't pass because they didn't have the votes. And they didn't have the votes because they had a 50, 50 Senate split.

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    The future of these policies remains uncertain, contingent on the political landscape and legislative support.

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