Adventures in Gun Running: Iran || Peter Zeihan

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Tech Leap
Iran's advancements in drone technology mark a significant shift in global arms dynamics. highlights how Iran, traditionally a weapons purchaser, has become a notable seller, particularly in the realm of drones. These drones, like the Shahid models, are capable of precise attacks over long distances, making them a formidable tool in modern warfare.
It's that you can attack a specific target with precision at a significant standoff distance. The Shahids can easily go 1000. Some of the better versions can even go further.
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This technological leap allows Iran to produce drones at scale, with a growing market in conflict zones across the Middle East and Africa 1.
Strategic Shift
The proliferation of Iranian drones is reshaping conflict strategies, especially in weaker states. explains that these drones are cheaper to deploy than to defend against, posing a significant threat to nations with limited infrastructure. This shift forces such states to either acquire similar technology or face severe vulnerabilities.
For weaker states, this evolution in technology is almost the kiss of death if you get into unarmed conflict, because there's no way you can afford to defend your fixed sites.
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The impact is not just military but also disrupts governmental functions, as critical infrastructure becomes easy targets 1.
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