• Human Judgment

  • Sources:

    Human judgment is a multifaceted topic, with insights spanning various fields. Here are some key points discussed by experts:

    1. Biases and Variability:

      • Daniel Kahneman's insights illustrate that human judgment is inherently imprecise, leading to "noise" that can cause significant errors in decision-making across numerous fields including business, medicine, and the criminal justice system. These mistakes are often unintentional and multiply over time, indicating the need to address such variability to improve outcomes 1.
    2. Impact of Context:

      • Ingmar Schuster refers to Kahneman's book "Noise," explaining how even judges' decisions can vary based on factors like timing (e.g., before or after lunch). This highlights the profound influence of context on human judgment and the potential for algorithms to help identify and address these biases consistently 2.
    3. Self-Judgment:

    4. Interpersonal Relationships:

      • Terri Apter and Shawn Schweier discuss how judgment functions in social contexts, from evolutionary necessities like survival and trust to modern relational dynamics. Apter notes that judgment helps us navigate social groups, while Schweier suggests that acceptance and understanding foster deeper connections 4 5.

    These insights underscore the complex nature of human judgment and the importance of both recognizing biases and fostering environments that promote balanced and fair assessments.

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