How are Trump's poll numbers?

Donald Trump's poll numbers reveal a mix of trends. Despite various controversies, he remains a significant figure in the polls. Here are some key points based on recent data analysis:

1. National Polls: Trump is currently ahead of Joe Biden in multiple polls. For example, the Reuters Ipsos poll had Trump up by five points over Biden as of late August 2023, with no national poll showing Biden leading since the beginning of the year 1.

2. State Polls: His strength varies by state. In battleground states like Wisconsin and Michigan, Trump shows strong performance, with leads or ties against Biden. These states are crucial for the election outcome 1 2.

3. Approval Ratings: Despite his strong polling numbers, Trump's personal approval ratings have been low. Recent polls indicate his favorability hovers around 39-45%, with significant negatives already considered by the public, potentially limiting its impact on the election results 3 4.

   
   1
   Trump's Polling Numbers
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   2
   Election Poll Analysis
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   3
   Trump's Approval Numbers
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   4
   Trump's Approval Ratings
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   5
   Trump's Durable Poll Numbers
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4. Republican Primary: In the Republican primary, Trump holds a considerable lead, especially after Ron DeSantis dropped out. He is leading by over 60 points against other candidates like Nikki Haley 5.

5. Demographics: Trump shows strong support among key demographic groups, particularly white, non-college-educated voters. However, he is currently underperforming with college-educated white people, a group typically won by Republicans, but has gained some traction among black and Hispanic voters 5 3.

Overall, while Trump's approval ratings are historically low, his strong polling numbers in key states and among Republicans indicate a durable base of support, which could make the upcoming election highly competitive.