When will hydrogen and electric based cars overtake petrol and diesel cars in the consumer market?
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The future of hydrogen and electric vehicles overtaking traditional petrol and diesel cars is a subject of discussion among experts. However, exact predictions on when the transition will happen vary and are influenced by many factors.
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sees electric vehicles as a transitional step towards other propulsion technologies like hydrogen. He suggests that the infrastructure for hydrogen isn't ready yet, and that widespread adoption may require a significant generational leap 1.
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is optimistic about the viability of hydrogen fuel cells in vehicles, expecting them to become more common as the technology improves and the market demands clean energy solutions 2 3.
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estimates that lifecycle EV ownership will be cheaper than fossil cars in about five years from the time of the podcast in 2020, and acknowledges that the transition to clean energy must be cost-competitive to encourage widespread consumer change 4.
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discusses the impact of autonomous and electric vehicles, suggesting that mobility as a service and EV efficiency could lead to a decrease in car ownership and potentially peak oil demand within a few years from around 2018 5.
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, Founder of Nikola Corporation, speaks about the importance of reducing hydrogen costs and creating a standardized hydrogen station infrastructure to make hydrogen a competitive and zero-emission alternative to diesel fuel 6.
The timeline for hydrogen and electric vehicles becoming the norm in the consumer market depends on advancements in technology, infrastructure development, economic factors, and changes in consumer behavior. While some are more optimistic than others about the speed of this transition, it's clear that moves are being made towards cleaner and more efficient vehicle technologies.
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