Logical Uncertainty
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delves into the complexities of logical uncertainty in predicting the future on an episode of . He discusses how expressing uncertainty about the future involves more nuanced considerations than simply assuming all possible outcomes are equally probable. Instead, it's crucial to understand the context and prior knowledge to make informed predictions. Yudkowsky highlights the limitations of assuming equal likelihood across all potential atomic configurations of the solar system, bolstering the need for a more sophisticated approach to logical uncertainty and future predictions1.
For a deeper understanding, you can explore this discussion in the episode titled .
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