What is the Lindy Effect?

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The Lindy Effect is a concept that suggests the future life expectancy of certain non-perishable things, like ideas, books, or technologies, is proportional to their current age. If something has existed for a certain number of years, it is likely to exist for another similar span of years. This is a probabilistic, not deterministic, statement. It essentially states that the longer something has survived, the longer it can be expected to continue surviving. Not all entities adhere to this rule, as it primarily applies where the risk of cessation decreases over time 1.

Lindy Effect

10-K Diver explains that the Lindy Effect is a probabilistic statement that states that the longer something has survived, the longer it is expected to last. Talib's turkey example is discussed, with Jim O'Shaughnessy having a slight issue with it.

Infinite Loops 2022

Ep.101 — Making Finance accessible to everyone w/ 10-K Diver
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