Is anthropogenic climate change certain?
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The certainty of anthropogenic climate change is a topic examined with high levels of confidence by many scientists. Experts from the highlight that there is at least 90% certainty that human activities influence physical and biological systems globally. They confirm that burning fossil fuels and deforestation release carbon dioxide, which traps heat and raises global temperatures. This consensus underscores that human actions are very likely the primary cause of the temperature increase over the last 50 years 1.
Similarly, the illustrates advancements in climate science, showing that while absolute certainty is elusive, the uncertainty in climate models has significantly decreased. Scientists now observe climate impacts on weather events with greater certainty, which aids policy-making and proactive adaptation strategies 2.
However, there are discussions about the inherent uncertainties and the need for constant reevaluation. , an economist and climate researcher, acknowledges the uncertainties in predicting specific climate impacts but emphasizes the undeniable links between greenhouse gas emissions and rising global temperatures 3.
Overall, while absolute certainty in science is rare, the overwhelming evidence supports the conclusion that human activities are a significant driver of recent climate changes.
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