How effective is donating to campaigns?


Donating to campaigns, especially political ones, has its complexities in terms of efficacy. Dwarkesh Patel discussed a scenario where a significant sum was donated to a political campaign which ultimately did not succeed. He highlighted that such outcomes are part of life and stressed that there's a limit to how much one can infer from a single occurrence. If the probability of success was perceived as 50/50, a close result in one direction doesn't drastically change the overall perspective on the efficacy of the donation. However, Patel also mentioned the possibility of diminishing or even negative returns when one donor contributes significantly to a campaign, indicating that the impact isn't straightforwardly scalable 1.

Political Giving Insights

Dwarkesh Patel discusses his experience with political giving and reflects on the efficacy and impact of donating to political campaigns. He shares insights on the need for more pandemic preparedness and prevention, the limitations of one-time occurrences, and the potential diminishing returns from donor contributions.

The Lunar Society

Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, FTX, Altruism, & Leadership