How effective is donating to campaigns?
How effective is donating to campaigns?
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Donating to campaigns, especially political ones, has its complexities in terms of efficacy. Dwarkesh Patel discussed a scenario where a significant sum was donated to a political campaign which ultimately did not succeed. He highlighted that such outcomes are part of life and stressed that there's a limit to how much one can infer from a single occurrence. If the probability of success was perceived as 50/50, a close result in one direction doesn't drastically change the overall perspective on the efficacy of the donation. However, Patel also mentioned the possibility of diminishing or even negative returns when one donor contributes significantly to a campaign, indicating that the impact isn't straightforwardly scalable 1.
Political Giving Insights
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