Top predictors

Sources:

Here are some individuals known for their significant contributions to prediction in their respective fields:

  1. Ilya Sutskever: A Canadian computer scientist co-founder and Chief Scientist of OpenAI, known for his work in machine learning and deep learning, particularly in the development of convolutional neural networks like AlexNet.
  2. Robin Hanson: An economist with insights into prediction markets, future technologies, and societal impacts. He is an associate professor at George Mason University.
  3. Scott Aaronson: An American computer scientist specializing in quantum computing and computational complexity theory, frequently discussing the implications of quantum technologies for future developments.
  4. Trenton Bricken: An AI researcher focusing on the training of large language models (LLMs) and their capacities, often discussing future AI capabilities.
  5. Dwarkesh Patel: While primarily a podcaster and interviewer, Dwarkesh frequently explores topics related to forecasting and predictions with experts across various fields.
  6. George Hotz: Known for his work in hacking and software engineering, George often delves into predictions related to technology and cybersecurity.
  7. Bethany McLean: An American journalist noted for her predictive insights on financial crises and corporate scandals.
  8. Tyler Cowen: An economist known for his broad economic insights and cultural predictions, frequently discussing global trends and their impacts.

These individuals bring diverse perspectives and expertise to the realm of predictions, each in their specialized areas.

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