Published Apr 20, 2021

SDS 463: Time Series Analysis — with Matt Dancho

Matt Dancho, founder of Business Science, delves into the transformative journey of his company from consulting to education, exploring innovative tools like Timetk and Modeltime for time series analysis and the integration of R Shiny for building impactful web applications, while highlighting deep learning's role in forecasting with models like Nbeats and DeepAR in diverse data science projects.
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  • Gluon Package

    The Gluon package leverages deep learning for time series forecasting, utilizing models like LSTMs and Nbeats. explains that Gluon T's integrates these models, making it easier to implement complex algorithms without extensive coding 1. This package is particularly useful for handling large datasets and producing robust predictions 2.

    The cool thing about LSTMs is they're basically an ARIMA on steroids. They look backwards in time and use that sequence to decide how the path should look into the future.

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    highlights that Gluon T's is unique in its focus on time series, unlike other frameworks like TensorFlow and PyTorch 1.

       

    Nbeats and DeepAR

    Nbeats and DeepAR are two prominent models within the Gluon T's package, designed for time series forecasting. notes that these models are highly effective in competitions and large-scale projects, often requiring cloud resources for optimal performance 3. They are part of the Amazon Web Services (AWS) ecosystem, which enhances their scalability and efficiency 3.

    Nbeats and DeepAR are two approaches to building time series neural network models as a part of the Amazon Web Services AWS Gluon T's package.

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    These models significantly boost productivity by automating many aspects of time series analysis, from preprocessing to feature engineering 4.

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