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Published Jun 27, 2017

Guessing Games

Shankar Vedantam delves into the complexities of prediction, unraveling the indistinct line between luck and skill in forecasting, while Philip E. Tetlock sheds light on superforecasting and the surprising success of non-experts. Through historical examples and psychological insights, the episode challenges our understanding of prediction accuracy and emphasizes the necessity of evidence-based approaches.
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